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polling

  • As two-state solution appears less likely, support for it keeps dropping

    A new poll of Palestinians and Israelis finds that with symbolic incentives, a majority on both sides can be convinced to support a two-state solution. But time is only eroding support for two states across the Green Line. For years, a majority of both Israelis and Palestinians supported a two-state solution in principle. After years of atrophy, large swaths of both societies now believe such a resolution to be impossible. That doubt strongly corresponds to sliding support for two states. If that trend injures the prospects for peace, the next finding of a recent survey of Israeli and Palestinian attitudes…

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  • Perfecting the art of predicting the future — Israeli elections

    Pre-election polls are a national sport in Israel, but they're not very accurate. Now there's a new player on the field, running a new polling project that claims to to have found the system's flaws — and fixed them. A look at how polls affect voting patterns, which populations are traditionally under-represented and the mistakes that must continue to be made if 'Project 61' is to succeed. By Angela Gruber Predicting the future can be tricky business, especially for those trying to figure out how Israelis will vote in next month’s elections. Previous elections have proven that the big polling…

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  • 'Zionist Camp' takes a lead in polls, but Bibi has upper hand

    The top two parties are neck-and-neck and the number of political king-makers is growing. With a number of potential wild-cards ahead, it's anyone's election. If elections were to take place today, the next prime minister of Israel could come from either of two directions: the Labor Party’s Issac Herzog or incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, of Likud. The latest polls show that both men would have a decent chance of forming a coalition, although Netanyahu would probably have an advantage. The centrist parties — the Herzog-Livni Zionist Camp, Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party, newcomer Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu — and Meretz,…

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