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	<title>Comments on: An agreement on indefinite occupation: Oslo celebrates 19 years</title>
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	<description>Independent commentary and news from Israel &#38; Palestine</description>
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		<title>By: Bluegrass Picker of Afula</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76854</link>
		<dc:creator>Bluegrass Picker of Afula</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Sep 2012 05:01:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76854</guid>
		<description>&gt;&gt;   and then Palestinians could claim the land as recognzied by UN resolutions and world community more than ever.


Thatt would probably count for a lot at meetings of the Berkeley City Council. It would probably get the United Church of Canada to push their panties EVEN FURTHER up their unmentionables.


It certainly will **not**  change anything between our Eastern River and the Western Sea. Brush up on your Cherkassi-accented Hebrew, Jack.  Could help you get through one of our checkpoints with a lower degree of strip-search.


&gt;&gt;  and then Palestinians could claim the land as recognzied by UN resolutions and world community more than ever.

The big breakthru around  here is the Ethiopit &amp; the Bnei Menashe Tween-age kids getting interested in the ריקודים סלוניים  championships that so far, the Russkies have had a lock on. Search Youtube with keyword &quot;dancekesem&quot;, Jack.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&gt;&gt;   and then Palestinians could claim the land as recognzied by UN resolutions and world community more than ever.</p>
<p>Thatt would probably count for a lot at meetings of the Berkeley City Council. It would probably get the United Church of Canada to push their panties EVEN FURTHER up their unmentionables.</p>
<p>It certainly will **not**  change anything between our Eastern River and the Western Sea. Brush up on your Cherkassi-accented Hebrew, Jack.  Could help you get through one of our checkpoints with a lower degree of strip-search.</p>
<p>&gt;&gt;  and then Palestinians could claim the land as recognzied by UN resolutions and world community more than ever.</p>
<p>The big breakthru around  here is the Ethiopit &amp; the Bnei Menashe Tween-age kids getting interested in the ריקודים סלוניים  championships that so far, the Russkies have had a lock on. Search Youtube with keyword &#8220;dancekesem&#8221;, Jack.</p>
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		<title>By: Kolumn9</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76392</link>
		<dc:creator>Kolumn9</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Sep 2012 19:54:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76392</guid>
		<description>Greg, Levantine culture and social organization has a very strong patronage aspect, so it isn&#039;t entirely surprising that Arafat and the PA pursued such a policy, but that was not a choice made by Israel which frankly couldn&#039;t give two figs how the PA organizes Palestinian society as long as there is calm. I would point out that the pre-Oslo Israeli civil administration of the West Bank was significantly smaller in terms of manpower and much less prone to the nepotism and patronage issues that plague the PA administration of the territory, so again, it was a choice made by Arafat/PLO to institute a patronage system, not something they inherited.

I am hardly exaggerating when I point out that the Palestinian economy *should* have been growing significantly faster in spite of any existing restrictions simply given the massive changes in conditions that have taken place since the end of the second intifada.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Greg, Levantine culture and social organization has a very strong patronage aspect, so it isn&#8217;t entirely surprising that Arafat and the PA pursued such a policy, but that was not a choice made by Israel which frankly couldn&#8217;t give two figs how the PA organizes Palestinian society as long as there is calm. I would point out that the pre-Oslo Israeli civil administration of the West Bank was significantly smaller in terms of manpower and much less prone to the nepotism and patronage issues that plague the PA administration of the territory, so again, it was a choice made by Arafat/PLO to institute a patronage system, not something they inherited.</p>
<p>I am hardly exaggerating when I point out that the Palestinian economy *should* have been growing significantly faster in spite of any existing restrictions simply given the massive changes in conditions that have taken place since the end of the second intifada.</p>
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		<title>By: Greg Pollock</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76225</link>
		<dc:creator>Greg Pollock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Sep 2012 20:42:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76225</guid>
		<description>At the time of Oslo during Bibi the first, I felt that Arafat showed little resolve to open the economy; simply, independent economic agents portend an independent political force.  This refusal placed Hamas in a better position, which with much prompting from Israeli policy, lead to the bombing war.  Partonage reduces development by forbidding independence as dangerous.  This locks one in a cylce of outside aid.  But, as to Israeli import/export restrictions--I think you are exaggerating any easing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>At the time of Oslo during Bibi the first, I felt that Arafat showed little resolve to open the economy; simply, independent economic agents portend an independent political force.  This refusal placed Hamas in a better position, which with much prompting from Israeli policy, lead to the bombing war.  Partonage reduces development by forbidding independence as dangerous.  This locks one in a cylce of outside aid.  But, as to Israeli import/export restrictions&#8211;I think you are exaggerating any easing.</p>
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		<title>By: Kolumn9</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76209</link>
		<dc:creator>Kolumn9</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Sep 2012 18:51:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76209</guid>
		<description>Blaming the occupation for the lack of economic growth and a bloated public sector is incredibly strange. The former is a constant presence and the restrictions placed have been loosened in the past 4 years, which should by itself be generating growth especially given the increases in the numbers of Palestinians working in Israel and the settlements (80,000 now compared to much fewer 5 years ago). The commonly stated excuse of the lack of access to 60% of the West Bank is also strange unless one expects economic growth to come from conducting agriculture in the middle of the desert that makes up the vast majority of that 60%. The bloated bureaucracy and the reliance on foreign governments is entirely a function of the priorities of the Palestinian government itself which has been expanding its payroll and social programs rather than building the infrastructure for a private economy.

Nope, I don&#039;t care about the settlements, at all. Settlements have been repeatedly shown to be removable. They are used as a proxy issue by the Palestinians for the insistence on the 1967 lines which are entirely unrealistic given Israel&#039;s security interests. As such, they are an excuse used by those that wish to maintain the status quo on the pro-Palestinian side because they are unwilling to countenance the compromises required for peace and a red herring by those that have no desire to see peace in the first place.  As long as that is the case I don&#039;t see why I should care about the settlements.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Blaming the occupation for the lack of economic growth and a bloated public sector is incredibly strange. The former is a constant presence and the restrictions placed have been loosened in the past 4 years, which should by itself be generating growth especially given the increases in the numbers of Palestinians working in Israel and the settlements (80,000 now compared to much fewer 5 years ago). The commonly stated excuse of the lack of access to 60% of the West Bank is also strange unless one expects economic growth to come from conducting agriculture in the middle of the desert that makes up the vast majority of that 60%. The bloated bureaucracy and the reliance on foreign governments is entirely a function of the priorities of the Palestinian government itself which has been expanding its payroll and social programs rather than building the infrastructure for a private economy.</p>
<p>Nope, I don&#8217;t care about the settlements, at all. Settlements have been repeatedly shown to be removable. They are used as a proxy issue by the Palestinians for the insistence on the 1967 lines which are entirely unrealistic given Israel&#8217;s security interests. As such, they are an excuse used by those that wish to maintain the status quo on the pro-Palestinian side because they are unwilling to countenance the compromises required for peace and a red herring by those that have no desire to see peace in the first place.  As long as that is the case I don&#8217;t see why I should care about the settlements.</p>
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		<title>By: Greg Pollock</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76091</link>
		<dc:creator>Greg Pollock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Sep 2012 05:32:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76091</guid>
		<description>K9, I recall Gershom Gorenberg saying that tax collection was also an issue in the first intifada, you know, when government was direct by the civil administration?  But I did ask for correction, didn&#039;t I?  Tariff taxation is a primary tool because it is not a direct income tax.

You cannot expect growth under import/export restrictions.  The international victimhood you mention has also allowed the molification of the population, overall.  Your occupation has been subsidized by the US, EU, IMF and, occasionaly, Arab states.  You do not seem to care about the settlements at all; I conclude you want these to continue to grow to expunge more prior residents.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>K9, I recall Gershom Gorenberg saying that tax collection was also an issue in the first intifada, you know, when government was direct by the civil administration?  But I did ask for correction, didn&#8217;t I?  Tariff taxation is a primary tool because it is not a direct income tax.</p>
<p>You cannot expect growth under import/export restrictions.  The international victimhood you mention has also allowed the molification of the population, overall.  Your occupation has been subsidized by the US, EU, IMF and, occasionaly, Arab states.  You do not seem to care about the settlements at all; I conclude you want these to continue to grow to expunge more prior residents.</p>
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		<title>By: Kolumn9</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76058</link>
		<dc:creator>Kolumn9</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Sep 2012 00:03:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76058</guid>
		<description>Greg, you really can look some of these things up yourself instead of asking for corrections.. The PA does not send collected taxes to Israel. The &#039;tax transfers&#039; you hear about is the money (duties) collected at Israeli ports of entry on goods destined for the Palestinian Authority. The first intifada was ignited by a traffic accident where an Israeli truck driver smacked into a Palestinian civilian car causing the deaths of its occupants.

The PA also collects its own income taxes, but it doesn&#039;t collect anywhere near enough to fund its operations (even with the transfers from Israel). So, the PA does have direct revenue control, though it&#039;s ability to increase taxes is limited because the Palestinian population is very averse to paying taxes and deems it more noble to beg the international community to fund its expenses as compensation for their victimhood. This was last visible when Fayyad wanted to increase taxes to cover some of the budget deficit he faces on a regular basis. He had to back down from that plan.

The West Bank population is already &#039;polarized&#039;. It has been polarized for the past 20 years and overt violence has already occurred and repeatedly. So, your menacing future is the present and the very concrete past and the threat of it is a weak motivator. You write like it is 1986 and the first intifada hasn&#039;t broken out and the Palestinians still are governed by the Israeli civil administration. Did you miss the second intifada? You know... the one right after the peace offer was rejected by the Palestinians? You know.. the one which included the indiscriminate attacks on Israeli civilians? You know.. the one that was stopped cold by harsh Israeli repression (aka: kicked to the ground)? You know.. the one whose homicidal &#039;martyrs&#039; the Palestinian Authority still celebrates on a regular basis?

If the PA is a client entity it is because it turned itself into one when it refused statehood and a peace deal. It also isn&#039;t a very good client. Too expensive and really bothersome diplomatically for an incredibly weak entity which relies on foreign aid for any of its staying power.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Greg, you really can look some of these things up yourself instead of asking for corrections.. The PA does not send collected taxes to Israel. The &#8216;tax transfers&#8217; you hear about is the money (duties) collected at Israeli ports of entry on goods destined for the Palestinian Authority. The first intifada was ignited by a traffic accident where an Israeli truck driver smacked into a Palestinian civilian car causing the deaths of its occupants.</p>
<p>The PA also collects its own income taxes, but it doesn&#8217;t collect anywhere near enough to fund its operations (even with the transfers from Israel). So, the PA does have direct revenue control, though it&#8217;s ability to increase taxes is limited because the Palestinian population is very averse to paying taxes and deems it more noble to beg the international community to fund its expenses as compensation for their victimhood. This was last visible when Fayyad wanted to increase taxes to cover some of the budget deficit he faces on a regular basis. He had to back down from that plan.</p>
<p>The West Bank population is already &#8216;polarized&#8217;. It has been polarized for the past 20 years and overt violence has already occurred and repeatedly. So, your menacing future is the present and the very concrete past and the threat of it is a weak motivator. You write like it is 1986 and the first intifada hasn&#8217;t broken out and the Palestinians still are governed by the Israeli civil administration. Did you miss the second intifada? You know&#8230; the one right after the peace offer was rejected by the Palestinians? You know.. the one which included the indiscriminate attacks on Israeli civilians? You know.. the one that was stopped cold by harsh Israeli repression (aka: kicked to the ground)? You know.. the one whose homicidal &#8216;martyrs&#8217; the Palestinian Authority still celebrates on a regular basis?</p>
<p>If the PA is a client entity it is because it turned itself into one when it refused statehood and a peace deal. It also isn&#8217;t a very good client. Too expensive and really bothersome diplomatically for an incredibly weak entity which relies on foreign aid for any of its staying power.</p>
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		<title>By: Jack</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76035</link>
		<dc:creator>Jack</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 21:28:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76035</guid>
		<description>Remember that in UN meeting later this month Abbas have said they would ask the UN General Assembly to become upgraded (not as a state but close to). This will be approved and then Palestinians could claim the land as recognzied by UN resolutions and world community more than ever. They could also refer Israel to the ICC etc. So here we might have a great breakthrough coming up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Remember that in UN meeting later this month Abbas have said they would ask the UN General Assembly to become upgraded (not as a state but close to). This will be approved and then Palestinians could claim the land as recognzied by UN resolutions and world community more than ever. They could also refer Israel to the ICC etc. So here we might have a great breakthrough coming up.</p>
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		<title>By: Greg Pollock</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76031</link>
		<dc:creator>Greg Pollock</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 20:46:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76031</guid>
		<description>Aaron the FT, direct tax collection, I believe, ignited the first intifada.  The PA now (I guess) aids in collection, sending it to Israel, hoping it will get some back.  If I am wrong, let me know.  Forgetting the bombings (which one really cannot), the vanguard settlements make a two State solution impossible; too much has been lost by one side, with more clearly coming.

Oslo is dead; the Israeli State simply uses the term when it wants.  Since the PA does not have direct revenue control, at bottom it is nothing more than a client entity, a bantu arm of the State.  Eventually, the West Bank population will polarize--overt violence will begin.  Because the Israeli political engine works on settlement expansion, this outcome is ignored.  The expulsions must stop in all forms, the vanguard settlements removed, and territorial expansion of the remainder frozen.  Then you can ask why the PA fails to sue for autonomy.  Until then, you are asking those kicked to the ground why they don&#039;t get up.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Aaron the FT, direct tax collection, I believe, ignited the first intifada.  The PA now (I guess) aids in collection, sending it to Israel, hoping it will get some back.  If I am wrong, let me know.  Forgetting the bombings (which one really cannot), the vanguard settlements make a two State solution impossible; too much has been lost by one side, with more clearly coming.</p>
<p>Oslo is dead; the Israeli State simply uses the term when it wants.  Since the PA does not have direct revenue control, at bottom it is nothing more than a client entity, a bantu arm of the State.  Eventually, the West Bank population will polarize&#8211;overt violence will begin.  Because the Israeli political engine works on settlement expansion, this outcome is ignored.  The expulsions must stop in all forms, the vanguard settlements removed, and territorial expansion of the remainder frozen.  Then you can ask why the PA fails to sue for autonomy.  Until then, you are asking those kicked to the ground why they don&#8217;t get up.</p>
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		<title>By: Aaron the Fascist Troll</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76020</link>
		<dc:creator>Aaron the Fascist Troll</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 19:46:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76020</guid>
		<description>The Palestinians got a lot more than that for Oslo. What they got was a state in Judea, Samaria, and Gaza, any time they want it: all they have to do to cash it in is to *seriously* accept Israel&#039;s existence, in word and deed. Do that, and they&#039;ve got a state almost immediately.

I&#039;m not a lawyer, but I don&#039;t see what rights Oslo gives Israel that it doesn&#039;t already have under the laws of belligerent occupation. If anything, it restricts the rights of the occupant, in return for, uh, peace. Oslo set up a Palestinian government, which is a benefit to Israel, and that&#039;s not nothing. But it&#039;s a political gain, not a juridical one. Settlement, tax collection, etc. - all those activities would have been just as legal or illegal under a straight occupation, without any Palestinian Authority, as they are today.

There&#039;s also a very serious downside to the PA for Israel, which was especially obvious in the 1990s. You might have missed it because you seem naturally sort of pessimistic. (I like that in a leftist!) Oslo set up a framework where the PA spokesmen could talk all nicey-nice and moderate, in English, while the PA allowed the militias to commit tactical acts of terrorism to achieve political goals. The West could then ignore reality and feel really good about itself. That was very bad for Israel. So those of you who think you support peace, be happy about that one lasting element of Oslo.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Palestinians got a lot more than that for Oslo. What they got was a state in Judea, Samaria, and Gaza, any time they want it: all they have to do to cash it in is to *seriously* accept Israel&#8217;s existence, in word and deed. Do that, and they&#8217;ve got a state almost immediately.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m not a lawyer, but I don&#8217;t see what rights Oslo gives Israel that it doesn&#8217;t already have under the laws of belligerent occupation. If anything, it restricts the rights of the occupant, in return for, uh, peace. Oslo set up a Palestinian government, which is a benefit to Israel, and that&#8217;s not nothing. But it&#8217;s a political gain, not a juridical one. Settlement, tax collection, etc. &#8211; all those activities would have been just as legal or illegal under a straight occupation, without any Palestinian Authority, as they are today.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s also a very serious downside to the PA for Israel, which was especially obvious in the 1990s. You might have missed it because you seem naturally sort of pessimistic. (I like that in a leftist!) Oslo set up a framework where the PA spokesmen could talk all nicey-nice and moderate, in English, while the PA allowed the militias to commit tactical acts of terrorism to achieve political goals. The West could then ignore reality and feel really good about itself. That was very bad for Israel. So those of you who think you support peace, be happy about that one lasting element of Oslo.</p>
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		<title>By: Kolumn9</title>
		<link>http://972mag.com/an-agreement-on-indefinite-occupation-oslo-celebrates-19-years/55788/comment-page-1/#comment-76013</link>
		<dc:creator>Kolumn9</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Sep 2012 19:11:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://972mag.com/?p=55788#comment-76013</guid>
		<description>Oslo was signed by the PLO because the PLO was going bankrupt due to the loss of Soviet patronage and becoming irrelevant due to being stuck in Tunis.  It was signed by the Israelis because it was too good a deal to pass up. The PLO recognized Israel while taking control over the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip and Jericho and leaving the settlements in place. It is maintained by both sides because the PLO/Fateh is still desperate and Israel still doesn&#039;t want to control the Palestinian population. The collapse of Oslo would mean the decline and fall of Fateh, the takeover by Hamas of the PLO and the elimination of the PA infrastructure which would cause massive poverty and anarchy in the West Bank. I fail to see any positive result from this for the Israelis, the Palestinians, or for peace. The Israelis get terror. The Palestinians get poverty, unemployment and anarchy (yes, much worse than now) and Hamas. Peace or even steps towards peace are an extremely unlikely outcome.

Noam, you are a reasonable person, yes Oslo might appear hypocritical given the lofty way it was sold, but do you have a very different perception of how things will turn out from me? Because I can&#039;t see them moving into any positive direction.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oslo was signed by the PLO because the PLO was going bankrupt due to the loss of Soviet patronage and becoming irrelevant due to being stuck in Tunis.  It was signed by the Israelis because it was too good a deal to pass up. The PLO recognized Israel while taking control over the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip and Jericho and leaving the settlements in place. It is maintained by both sides because the PLO/Fateh is still desperate and Israel still doesn&#8217;t want to control the Palestinian population. The collapse of Oslo would mean the decline and fall of Fateh, the takeover by Hamas of the PLO and the elimination of the PA infrastructure which would cause massive poverty and anarchy in the West Bank. I fail to see any positive result from this for the Israelis, the Palestinians, or for peace. The Israelis get terror. The Palestinians get poverty, unemployment and anarchy (yes, much worse than now) and Hamas. Peace or even steps towards peace are an extremely unlikely outcome.</p>
<p>Noam, you are a reasonable person, yes Oslo might appear hypocritical given the lofty way it was sold, but do you have a very different perception of how things will turn out from me? Because I can&#8217;t see them moving into any positive direction.</p>
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